Neutrality of the Built Landscape of the Italian North-East, Two Hypotheses Compared. Regulatory Scenario vs. Active Adaptation Scenario

Abstract

The research is working on the construction of evolutionary scenarios of the built environment of the Italian North East according to two parameters: increasing the territory's adaptation to climate change and reducing as much as possible the use of fossil fuels in all sectors, from production to mobility. The objective is to make the entire territory of the North East less fragile and the entire construction industry less sensitive to exogenous variations -political, economic, climatic, etc- by increasing its resilience. The scale of detail to which the study aims to descend for concrete verification is the autarkic scale of the independent house of the Triveneto plain.
The scenario tool is here intended as a design hypothesis in function of the prefiguration, at the various scales, of an expected evolution. Data collection makes it possible to identify the main variables in the development of sustainable urban and architectural projects.
The time interval examined is defined by the intersection of two reference systems: the European Green Deal framework, with scenarios to 2030 and 2050; the IPCC's trend forecasts with scenarios to 2100.